Gap between federal Liberals and Conservatives narrowing: poll
Posted April 15, 2025 1:45 pm.
Last Updated April 16, 2025 6:29 am.
The outcome of the 45th Canadian federal election is becoming more unpredictable as the country moves closer to election day.
The most recent poll by the Angus Reid Institute shows that the gap between the two largest parties, the Conservatives and the Liberals, is narrowing.
According to Angus Reid, the Liberals are currently leading the polls with 45 per cent, even though they lost one percentage point compared to last week’s polling.
With 39 per cent, which is an increase of three points from last week’s numbers, the Conservatives are catching up.
The NDP and Leader Jagmeet Singh have lost significant support among the electorate. As did the Bloc Québécois. Both parties are tied in the polls and stand at 7 per cent. The Green Party is currently under 3 per cent of the total vote share, according to the poll.
The personal momentum of Liberal Leader Mark Carney — the difference between improving and worsening opinions among Canadians — has slowed to a neutral pace. In contrast to Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh whose perception among voters has worsened, respectively.
According to the poll, Canadians are most concerned with the issue of affordability. Fifty-six per cent ranked cost-of-living expenses as most important in their voting decision.
The second most important issues, health care and Canada-U.S. relations, have swapped spots since last month.
Health care ranks higher among the electorate, with 38 per cent deeming it important, while 29 per cent see the relations at the southern border as a top issue.
Conservatives regained the lead over the Liberals among males older than 34. The Liberals, on the other hand, lead over the Conservatives among women in all age groups — with 9 per cent among the female voters between 35 and 54 and 13 per cent among female voters older than 55.
Meanwhile, the NDP is especially making inroads with female voters younger than 34.
The election takes place on April 28. Make sure to check out the CityNews guide to the 45th federal Canadian election here.
