Vancouverites most likely to vote Liberal in upcoming election: poll

If a federal election were to be held on Tuesday, Vancouverites would most likely vote for the Liberal Party.

That’s according to a new poll conducted for CityNews by Leger.

The poll finds 48 per cent of decided voters are supporting the Liberals, while the Conservatives are just behind at 30 per cent.

The biggest issue for voters is how Ottawa will deal with the United States going forward.

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However, when it comes to younger adults and Conservative voters, they think the cost of living is a bigger priority.

The poll also finds that people in Vancouver believe Liberal Leader Mark Carney is the best leader to manage U.S.-Canada relations.

Meanwhile, it looks like the federal NDP is looking at an uphill battle, just a few days into the official start of the election campaign

In a poll by the Angus Reid Institute, 50 per cent of respondents who voted orange in 2021 say they’ll be flipping their vote to the Liberals next month.

(CityNews Image / Leger Poll)

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This means the NDP is polling nationally at just seven per cent currently.

That trend is clearly showing in Metro Vancouver, where voter intention for the Liberals has jumped from 27 per cent to 50 per cent in just the last three months.

While the race is largely focused on cross-border relations, political commentator David Moscrop believes that nothing the NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is saying is landing with voters.

“I don’t think the problem is just messaging. I think the problem is that people have tuned out the NDP. They’re not listening to the message from the party. People have, at least for the early part of this election, decided that they feel like it’s a two-party race between the Liberals and the Conservatives,” Moscrop explained.

Moscrop says that with the NDP in a dire situation, it seems inevitable that Singh will lose his job as leader after the votes are counted. However, he adds that anything can happen in a campaign, and things could turn around.

He says the ideological difference between the three parties should make this an easier time for the NDP, theoretically.

“The NDP is distinct from the Liberals and distinct from the Conservatives. You dig into the Carney platform such as it is so far, or the Poilievre platform such as it is so far, and there’s not a ton of daylight between them,” Moscrop said.

He says with U.S. relations top of the mind, and this vote looking more and more like a two horse race, some NDP supporters are looking to cast their votes more strategically.

The question is, which of those two is likely to win or is best suited to deal with Donald Trump, and the NDP just doesn’t factor into the equation,” Moscrop added. “And so you can talk all you want about how you’ve not been endorsed by Donald Trump, but nobody’s listening to you.”

The federal election is on April 28.